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NVDA’S EARNINGS AT THE CLOSE

At the close NVDA will announce its quarterly results.  Goldman Sachs calls the NVDA “as the most important stock on earth” given its massive influence on the broader indexes. Bloomberg writes NVDA is responsible for over 40% of the NASDAQ’s 100 gain this year.  NVDA is up about 28% in three weeks.  The S & … Read more

WILL PRESIDENT BIDEN REMAIN THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE?  IS THERE ANY SIMILARITY TO THE MARKETS?

Will President Biden forego the Democratic nomination? Sixty-five percent of people polled believe he should. Only 37% of Democrats are satisfied that he is the nominee. Many Democratic leaders and pundits have suggested that he should drop out of the race.CNN’s Van Jones stated the optics are horrific, commenting “A bullet could not stop Trump, … Read more

PERHAPS A NEW NARRATIVE?

Bloomberg wrote yesterday The assassination attempt on former President Trump over the weekend has boosted his odds of winning the US election and may push traders to pile into sectors that stand to benefit the most from a Republican control the White House. The unprecedented nature of the attack will boost volatility and in the … Read more

CPI NOMINALLY LOWER THAN EXPECTED…EQUITY RESPONSE IS NOT ONE WHAT ONE WOULD HAVE EXPECTED

The CPI surprised nominally on the downside offering evidence that the Central Bank may be able to cut rates as soon as September. Briefly, the core CPI climbed 0.1% from May, the smallest advance since August 2021.  The year-over-year measure rose 3.3%, also the slowest pace in more than three years. The Treasury market rallied … Read more

CPI AT 8:30

The second day of FRB Chair Powell’s Congressional Testimony was again largely a non-event.  However, what might be of significance is his comment about the Fed’s balance sheet.  Powell stated the Central Bank “has made quite a lot of progress.  We think we have a good ways to go.” The Fed has reduced its holdings … Read more

FRB CHAIR POWELL’S TESTIMONY A NON-EVENT

FRB Chair Powell’s comments were largely a non-event.  Powell stated, “more good data” would strengthen confidence that inflation is moving toward the central banks 2% target and “recent readings point to modest further progress on prices.”  The Fed Chief further stated that lowering interest rates too little or too late could put the economy and … Read more

LIFE IS STRANGER THAN FICTION

Will the election impact the markets?  Historically turmoil in the Executive Branch increases volatility.  According to Bloomberg, President Biden sent a 2-page letter to Democratic leaders and donors to quell Democratic infighting about his campaign, saying he is determined to remain in the race and challenging dissenters to end talk of his removal from the … Read more

JOLTS DATA SURPRISED ON UPSIDE; POWELL STATED THE US IS BACK ON THE “DISINFLATIONARY PATH”

Job openings unexpectedly rose in May, interrupting a months-long downtrend that underscored a gradual slowdown in labor demand.  Available positions increased to 8.14 million form a downwardly revise 7.92 million reading in the prior month that was the lowest in three years. Both hiring and layoffs picked up in a sign of churn in the … Read more