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A SIGNIFICANT MARKET REVERSAL

Markets reversed moderate gains, gains the of result data suggesting waning inflationary pressures, to fears that growth and profits may erode in the Fed’s quest to quell inflation. Equites were further spooked by comments from two Fed hawks stating monetary policy is “almost in restrictive territory but not quite yet,” interpreted as the Fed may … Read more

THE VIX, EARNINGS REPORTS AND RE SHORING

Equites were choppy on a reassessment of earnings and monetary policy.  Bloomberg writes of the 33 S & P 500 companies that have posted results so far, 25 have beaten expectations, “the nascent trend of lagging buoyant surprises of the previous quarters.” The market is perhaps interpreting more downside profit reports. On the other hand … Read more

EARNINGS SEASON COMMENCES FRIDAY

Fourth quarter earnings season will commence Friday with the release of Wells Fargo, Citicorp and JP Morgan’s results.  Net interest margin is expected to surge given the most aggressive Fed in forty years.  It is also expected the banks will add to loan loss reserves in anticipation of an increase in nonperforming assets later in … Read more

JOB GAINS AND THE LPR EXCEEDED ESTIMATES…WAGES GAINS LOWER THAN ANTICIPATED

The labor market remained strong but wage gains somewhat cooled.  Non-farm payrolls rose by 223,000, exceeding the 203,000 estimate.  The unemployment rate decline to 3.5% but the labor participation rate increased to 62.3%.  Consensus was expecting a 3.7% rate and 62.2%, respectively.  Wages however only increased by 0.3% versus the expected increase of 0.4%. The … Read more

EMPLOYMENT DATA AT 8:30

Private payrolls increased 235,000 last month after an upwardly revised 182,000 in November according to data from the ADP Research Institute.  The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey called for a 150,000 advance. Job gains were concentrated in businesses with less than 500 employees.  The largest companies cut 151,000 workers from payrolls, ADP said. The … Read more

THE JOLTS SURVEY AND FED MINUTES

Job openings remained elevated in November, highlighting how a resilient labor market is likely to keep the Federal Reserve tilted toward more restrictive policy in the months ahead. The number of available positions ticked down to 10.46 million from 10.51 million a month earlier according to the Labor Department’s JOLT survey.  The figure was higher … Read more

2023 COMMENCED IN A SIMIALR MANNER AS 2022 ENDED

The first day of trading of 2023 was similar to 2022 trading…the under performance of the NASDAQ continued as two widely owned and followed technology companies disappointed. TSLA fell about 12% as it announced its fourth quarter deliveries missed estimates despite the firm offering incentives in important markets. APPL dropped over mounting fears about iPhone … Read more