Earnings season commences in about 2 weeks, thus suggesting the possibility of profit warnings occurring this week. As noted several times, quarterly economic growth is perhaps the greatest since 2003, thus suggesting profits may
Will the perceived Goldilocks economy continue? Oil prices are surging. The auto industry is facing an unprecedented strike. The government may shut down. The global economy is in a major transition. Interest rates are
As widely expected, the FOMC voted unanimously to leave the overnight rate unchanged in a target range of 5.25%-5.50%, a 22 year high. The “dot plot” or the median estimate of each FOMC member foresees one
It is widely believed the FOMC will not deliver any interest rate surprises today: Officials have amply signaled that there will not be any further increase this
The Treasury market is poised to post its third consecutive year of losses, a feat that has not occurred in “several generations.” Bloomberg writes Treasuries maturing in 10 or more years have slumped about
Tomorrow is the commencement of a two-day FOMC meeting. It is widely expected the Committee will keep rates steady in the 5.25% to 5.5% range and might “pencil” in one more interest hike later this year and stay at
Underlying inflation ran at a faster than expected monthly pace in August, leaving the door open for additional interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Core consumer prices—which exclude food and energy prices—advanced 0.3% from
The WSJ reports the budget deficit for fiscal year 2023 that ends on September 30 will be $1.7 trillion. The estimate is from the Congressional Budget office’s monthly report for August and the deficit is even worse than
Markets were bifurcated as the Dow was unchanged and the NASDAQ led by be technology shares retreated about 1.0% amid concern over how a Chinese ban on AAPL’s iPhone could impact other segments of the
The ISM Services Index, which represents about 70% of the economy, rose to a six-month high in August, exceeding all estimates in a Blomberg survey of economists. The surprisingly robust figures highlight the
