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A GOOD DAY IF YOU DID NOT OWN THE MAGNIFICENT SEVEN

Equites advanced ignoring underwhelming earnings from several tech heavyweights.  Over 350 members of the S & P 500 rose even as the Magnificent Seven sank 1.8% on the back of GOOG’s disappointing results.

The market has been whipsawed by data that has surprised in both directions, trade tensions and questions about whether the billions of dollars spent on AI will start to pay off.  Some are suggesting that AI may be the same as the ESG investments.  Over $6 trillion globally has been raised for ESG and the sector as the group is down almost 50% according to data collected by Morningstar.

Speaking of the data, the ISM Non-Manufacturing index, which measures activity in about 70% of the economy did not measure up to expectations and the prices paid index declined moderately versus rising.  The data caused a significant rally in the Treasury market, causing a flattening of the curve.

There was also considerable narrative about Gaza with many pondering the President’s recent statements.  Some are questioning whether Trump has lost focus on pressing fiscal issues attempting to resolve the issues that has been around for centuries. 

It would be a celestial event of biblical proportions if the eternal war between the Children of Ishmael and the Children of Isacc is drawn to a peaceful conclusion.   Can the people who descended from Hager and Abraham coexist with the people who descended from Sarah and Abraham?  Writing it differently will, or can Mohammad’s descendants live in peace with Jesus’s descendants?  Talk about the ultimate birthright citizenship question.

After the close, AMZN releases its earnings.  AMZN has spent massively on AI and most will look for evidence that these expenditures are generating any type of return.

Last night the foreign markets were up. London was up 1.12%, Paris up 0.80% and Frankfurt up 0.79%.  China was up 1.27%, Japan up 0.61% and Hang Seng up 1.43%.

Futures are insignificantly lower on increasing concerns about stock valuations.  It could be argued that uncertainty is rising given the continued onslaught of perhaps radical proposals from the Administration.  The 10-year is off 1/32 to yield 4.43%.

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Kent Engelke

Chief Economic Strategist Managing Director

The views expressed herein are those of Kent Engelke and do not necessarily reflect those of Capitol Securities Management. Any opinions expressed are statements of judgment on this date and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those currently anticipated or projected. Any future dividends, interest, yields and event dates listed may be subject to change. An investor cannot invest in an index, and its returns are not indicative of the performance of any specific investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is being provided for informational purposes only. Any information should not be deemed a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security. Certain information has been obtained from third-party sources we consider reliable, but we do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete. This report is not a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material and does not include all available data necessary for making an investment decision. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. There is no guarantee that the statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. If you would like to unsubscribe from this e-mail distribution, please reply to this e-mail and indicate that you wish to unsubscribe in your response.