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THE EVENT OF THE WEEK HAS COME AND GONE

The event of the week arrived.  NVDA posted results that exceeded expectations, but its sales forecast fails to meet lofty expectations.  Currently shares are down about 5%.   The hype leading into the announcement was great and generally speaking a market nonevent as NASDAQ futures are up about 0.1%.  Dow futures are up about 0.4%. Changing … Read more

NVDA’S EARNINGS AT THE CLOSE

At the close NVDA will announce its quarterly results.  Goldman Sachs calls the NVDA “as the most important stock on earth” given its massive influence on the broader indexes. Bloomberg writes NVDA is responsible for over 40% of the NASDAQ’s 100 gain this year.  NVDA is up about 28% in three weeks.  The S & … Read more

WILL PRESIDENT BIDEN REMAIN THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE?  IS THERE ANY SIMILARITY TO THE MARKETS?

Will President Biden forego the Democratic nomination? Sixty-five percent of people polled believe he should. Only 37% of Democrats are satisfied that he is the nominee. Many Democratic leaders and pundits have suggested that he should drop out of the race.CNN’s Van Jones stated the optics are horrific, commenting “A bullet could not stop Trump, … Read more

WORST DAY FOR NASDAQ 100 SINCE DECEMBER 2022

Led by the mega caps, equities fell on concern over tighter US curbs on chip sales to China, spurring a rout in the sector that has powered the advance since October.  This news was unforeseen thus perhaps creating a selling vortex as ownership of this sector is at record highs.  It is a very over … Read more

PERHAPS A NEW NARRATIVE?

Bloomberg wrote yesterday The assassination attempt on former President Trump over the weekend has boosted his odds of winning the US election and may push traders to pile into sectors that stand to benefit the most from a Republican control the White House. The unprecedented nature of the attack will boost volatility and in the … Read more

MARKETS IGNORED NOMINALLY HIGHER THAN EXPECTED PPI

Markets generally ignored the slightly higher than expected increase in July’s Producer Prices.  The PPI rose 0.2% from the month earlier.  Compared with a year ago, the PPI rose 2.6%.  Stripping out food and energy, the core rate increased 0.4% from the month before and 3.0% from a year ago. As noted, both measures were … Read more

CPI AT 8:30

The second day of FRB Chair Powell’s Congressional Testimony was again largely a non-event.  However, what might be of significance is his comment about the Fed’s balance sheet.  Powell stated the Central Bank “has made quite a lot of progress.  We think we have a good ways to go.” The Fed has reduced its holdings … Read more

FRB CHAIR POWELL’S TESTIMONY A NON-EVENT

FRB Chair Powell’s comments were largely a non-event.  Powell stated, “more good data” would strengthen confidence that inflation is moving toward the central banks 2% target and “recent readings point to modest further progress on prices.”  The Fed Chief further stated that lowering interest rates too little or too late could put the economy and … Read more

LIFE IS STRANGER THAN FICTION

Will the election impact the markets?  Historically turmoil in the Executive Branch increases volatility.  According to Bloomberg, President Biden sent a 2-page letter to Democratic leaders and donors to quell Democratic infighting about his campaign, saying he is determined to remain in the race and challenging dissenters to end talk of his removal from the … Read more