Market Commentary

Equities rose and Treasury yields fell after comments from Fed officials bolstered speculation the central bank is heading toward another pause in interest rate hikes.  Oil edged lower, following its

Wow!  September’s jobs data was extremely strong.  August’s data was revised considerably higher.  The statistics blew past all estimates by a wide margin as employers added 336,000 jobs in

The number of available positions increased to 9.61 million from an upward revised 8.92 million in July according to the Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).  The level of openings topped all estimates in

Treasury yields continued to rise as the ISM Manufacturing Index posted the highest reading since November, exceeding all forecasts in a Bloomberg survey.  The September index was bolstered by the

The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of underlying inflation rose at the slowest monthly pace since late 2020, helping to lay the groundwork for policymakers to forgo an interest rate hike at

The Treasury conducted the auction for the 7-year Treasury which printed the highest auction yield since 2009; 4.673%.  The auction was “relatively well received” just as the

Long term Treasuries continued to climb higher with surging oil prices partially to blame.  Oil is at the highest levels in a year as inventories fell below a critical level.  There are few options to combat the unrelenting

Consumer Confidence fell for the second consecutive month and to a four-month low, largely the result of the ongoing rise in gasoline prices.  The drop in the S & P 500, which is also at a three-month low, has not helped either.  The data was

Longer dated Treasuries are continuing to sell off.  The 10-year Treasury is at the highest level since October 2007 while the thirty-year Treasury is at a level last seen in April 2011.  Shorter dated debt, defined as two years or less have remained in a

Earnings season commences in about 2 weeks, thus suggesting the possibility of profit warnings occurring this week.  As noted several times, quarterly economic growth is perhaps the greatest since 2003, thus suggesting profits may