Market Commentary

The markets are suggesting a 30% chance the overnight rate will be lowered by 0.25% in March.  Is this realistic or

According to Bloomberg, in three weeks, the NASDAQ 100 has made an abrupt U-turn that went from correction territory to a 15-month high, adding roughly

Will this week’s inflation data validate rising inflation expectations as measured by the University of Michigan Sentiment Index?

Will the seventh time be the charm?  According to Deutsch Bank this is at least the seventh time in this hiking cycle that markets have reacted notably in response to

Equities were essentially unchanged yesterday following its best week of 2023.  A reversal of the moves in Treasuries weighed on stocks with 10-year Treasury yields rising about

JP Morgan’s Jamie Dimon stated the other day that central banks got financial forecasting “100% dead wrong” about 18 months ago. Most, including the Federal Reserve, thought the economy would be near or in a recession by

Alphabet and Microsoft report earnings today after the close.  Meta’s results are due tomorrow and Amazon’s on Thursday.

The S & P 500 is broaching the pivotal 200 day moving average. Oil prices are at the highest levels in over a year.  The VIX or the fear index is at levels last experienced in March.  Long dated Treasuries are hovering around yields last experienced 16

Considerable attention has been focused upon the carnage in the Treasury market.  The implosion in the $10 trillion corporate bond market is perhaps

Will geopolitical issues become the predominant market narrative?  Until Friday the Middle East was only a conversation having limited market impact.  War is perhaps the most unquantified event of