Equites were relatively quiet yesterday. Treasury yields, however, increased across the spectrum. Bloomberg reported yesterday that China sold a record amount of Treasuries during the first quarter. According to the US Treasury Department, Beijing sold a total of $53.3 billion of Treasuries and agency bonds, perhaps an indicator of a larger trade war lurking just … Read more
A measure of inflation largely met expectations and declined in April for the first time in six months, a small step in the right direction for the Federal Reserve officials looking to start cutting interest rates this year. The core CPI—which excludes food and energy costs—climbed 0.3% from March, snapping a streak of three above … Read more
Producer prices rose more than forecasted in April after an unexpected downward revision into negative territory of March’s data. Compared to a year ago, the PPI rose by the most since April 2023.PPI for final demand increased 0.5% from a month earlier following a downwardly revised 0.1% drop in March. The extent of the swing, … Read more
Markets struggled to find direction ahead of several inflation statistics. The PPI is released today at 8:30. Producer Prices are expected to increase at a greater month over month and year over year pace. The question is how much and what will be the market’s reaction. JP Morgan wrote the market is poised to move … Read more
Consumer sentiment unexpectedly declined to a six-month low as short-term expectations and concerns about the job market picked up.Inflation is a two-part phenomenon, and the psychological component is rising. Consumers expect prices to climb at an annual rate of 3.5% over the next year, the highest in six months and up from 3.2% from last … Read more
Equites rose yesterday as weekly jobless claims jumped to their highest level since August, exceeding all estimates. Against this backdrop, the market slightly increased its policy easing views for 2024. As noted the other day, since the Fed stated monetary policy will be determined by the statistics, every statistic released has the potential to alter … Read more
Markets were relatively quiet yesterday, searching for a catalyst. Since May 1, the S & P 500 has had a narrow rebound following a 4.2% drop in April, a decline primarily the result of yet another in change monetary policy expectations.Neel Kashkari of the Minneapolis Fed commented yesterday “The Committee has more work to do … Read more
It is widely accepted that the valuation gap between value and growth stocks is historic. Bloomberg writes “value investing is a vanishing trade for more than a decade as the strategy has misfired again and again.Legendary hedge fund manager David Einhorn states “the valuation be damned boom in passive investing has fundamentally broken the markets, … Read more
Stocks head towards their best three-day rally of 2024 on expectations the Fed will be able to cut interest rates this year. Several days ago, equities suffered their worst month since September 2022 according to CNBC.The volatility is primarily the result of the lack of liquidity and utter domination of algorithmic and technology-based trading amplified … Read more
April’s jobless data was weaker than expected. Non-farm payrolls advanced 175,000 last month, the smallest gain in six months. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%, the labor participation rate held steady but the pivotal rate for workers aged 25-54 increased to 83.5%, matching the highest level in two decades. Increased participation will help restrain … Read more
